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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+3.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.74vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+0.61vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+0.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83+0.67vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79+0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+2.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.07vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-1.28vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.80-0.23vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-5.77vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-4.88vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-3.97vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.95-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.67Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.93Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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12.77McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.03Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.17Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Ximena Escobar | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 21.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Iona Wyper | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.