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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+5.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.17vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+3.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+5.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.91vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+1.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.49+1.91vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.80+3.86vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.06vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.83-3.14vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-1.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-3.12vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-8.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.05Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.86McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.99Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.29Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 22.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 23.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 17.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.