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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+4.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+5.97vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02+6.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+2.91vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-4.38vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.95+0.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.05vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.80-1.26vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-4.83vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.83-7.07vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.97Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.1Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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12.91Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.13Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.74McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Escobar | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.