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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+6.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+7.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+5.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+4.34vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-1.66vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+4.09vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-4.78vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-2.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.07vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.83-5.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.25vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-3.77vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.80-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.07Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.09Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.22Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.0Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.23Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.69McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 24.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.