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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+6.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+1.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.95vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+0.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+3.88vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.83+0.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+0.04vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.46-4.33vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72+0.89vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.05vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.31vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-7.86vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.80-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.88Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.89Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.72McGill University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Ximena Escobar | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 24.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Iona Wyper | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.