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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+2.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+0.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+0.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93-0.58vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.87-1.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.34-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University1.300.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.42Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.46Olin College of Engineering0.870.1%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.44University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 21.9% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 15.3% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Max Sigel | 24.7% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 2.3% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 2.5% |
| Peter Schnell | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Cabot | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 30.0% | 11.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 9.9% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.