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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.10vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+0.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.25vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-0.30vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.30-2.33vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.57+0.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-0.51vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.01-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7719.7%1st Place
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3.1University of Pennsylvania1.7722.1%1st Place
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3.15Fordham University1.9822.6%1st Place
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6.25SUNY Maritime College-0.024.0%1st Place
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4.7Cornell University0.938.4%1st Place
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3.67Webb Institute1.3015.1%1st Place
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7.13Princeton University-0.572.4%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.3%1st Place
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6.19Hamilton College0.014.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.7% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 22.1% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 22.6% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 12.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 15.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| William Roberts | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 30.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 23.4% | 41.3% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.