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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.30+2.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.00+2.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+1.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75-1.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.34-0.61vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.87-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Tufts University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.44Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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5.39Harvard University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.52Olin College of Engineering0.870.1%1st Place
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7.41University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 16.9% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| Blake Vogel | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 3.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 20.9% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Max Sigel | 24.7% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Cabot | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 31.6% | 10.0% |
| Peter Schnell | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 4.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.