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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+2.11vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.87+2.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+0.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+0.46vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00-0.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.34-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75-3.90vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Tufts University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.5Olin College of Engineering0.870.1%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.46Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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7.42University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 23.4% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 4.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 15.4% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 3.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Cabot | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 30.0% | 10.5% |
| Max Sigel | 24.1% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 10.7% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.