Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Usher 29.8% 23.3% 18.3% 14.6% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Fredrikke Foss 22.0% 20.4% 17.0% 13.9% 11.9% 7.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 5.4% 5.3% 6.6% 7.5% 11.0% 14.1% 14.7% 15.9% 12.7% 5.9% 0.9%
Nilah Miller 12.9% 13.8% 16.3% 15.1% 13.1% 13.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Johnny Perkins 7.6% 7.9% 10.6% 10.0% 13.7% 11.9% 14.7% 12.5% 7.9% 2.6% 0.6%
Phoebe Whitbeck 5.8% 6.8% 7.9% 10.9% 12.8% 13.0% 14.0% 14.1% 9.8% 4.1% 0.8%
Samuel Trimble 1.0% 2.4% 2.7% 1.6% 2.2% 4.4% 5.8% 8.8% 17.3% 31.7% 22.1%
Roberto Martelli 9.7% 11.8% 11.8% 15.1% 13.7% 12.6% 11.6% 8.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Caroline Lancaster 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 3.6% 4.3% 7.3% 10.5% 23.5% 26.4% 15.1%
Crispin Martin 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.9% 4.9% 8.2% 19.6% 57.9%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 3.8% 5.3% 5.5% 8.0% 8.4% 11.8% 15.0% 17.5% 14.2% 8.3% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.