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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.17+2.36vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.68vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.10+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+1.87vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51+0.73vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79-3.14vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.79+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.56+0.98vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-5.32vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36College of Charleston1.170.2%1st Place
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2.68North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.56Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.01Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.73University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.86Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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8.96University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Tennessee-2.560.0%1st Place
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4.68Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.1%1st Place
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8.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikke Foss | 18.7% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 31.3% | 22.6% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 32.7% | 22.7% |
| Crispin Martin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 18.0% | 60.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 23.4% | 25.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.