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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+5.11vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University0.10+3.37vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.26vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.51+1.70vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79-1.97vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.17-3.83vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.79+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-2.56-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.37Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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2.74North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.92Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.1%1st Place
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6.7University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.03Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.17College of Charleston1.170.2%1st Place
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5.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Tennessee-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Johnny Perkins | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.9% | 25.0% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 23.7% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 30.4% | 26.0% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 26.5% | 13.2% |
| Crispin Martin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 21.0% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.