← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Homberger 60.7% 24.6% 9.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Williams 9.3% 13.1% 20.0% 17.4% 14.5% 14.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Felicity Davies 2.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 9.9% 12.6% 19.0% 22.3% 12.8% 3.4%
Kathleen Hale 7.6% 20.4% 20.8% 18.4% 14.2% 9.6% 6.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Lucyk 8.8% 13.2% 16.5% 18.6% 17.0% 13.3% 6.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Trevin Brown 3.9% 6.5% 8.4% 11.0% 13.6% 17.4% 16.7% 13.5% 7.3% 1.7%
William Robertson 1.4% 2.0% 4.0% 5.8% 6.9% 9.9% 18.1% 24.7% 19.7% 7.5%
Tucker Parks 4.5% 13.1% 14.2% 14.0% 17.0% 14.5% 12.8% 7.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Emma Pope 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 2.1% 3.2% 5.0% 7.9% 11.8% 32.2% 34.6%
Charles Palmer 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 6.1% 10.2% 22.7% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.