← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.65+0.62vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+2.09vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+3.42vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina-0.20-0.21vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-0.80vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-1.23-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Duke University-2.01+0.11vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.76-3.27vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-2.97-0.54vs Predicted
-
10Wake Forest University-3.30-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62College of Charleston1.650.6%1st Place
-
4.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.1%1st Place
-
6.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
-
3.79University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
-
4.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.1%1st Place
-
5.66Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
-
7.11Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
4.73North Carolina State University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.9Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 60.7% | 24.6% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Williams | 9.3% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 22.3% | 12.8% | 3.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.6% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| William Robertson | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 7.5% |
| Tucker Parks | 4.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Pope | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 32.2% | 34.6% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 22.7% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.