Race 2A

barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
James Paul 17.0% 16.1% 12.3% 11.0% 9.5% 10.0% 7.7% 5.5% 4.5% 3.0% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Sam Bonauto 16.4% 15.1% 14.1% 11.8% 11.0% 6.6% 7.4% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 1.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.8% 7.9% 10.1% 8.9% 9.3% 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 8.6% 7.0% 5.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Flores 7.4% 7.1% 9.7% 8.8% 7.4% 9.7% 8.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.9% 7.7% 4.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Sam Monaghan 6.7% 8.5% 6.8% 5.4% 9.3% 7.8% 7.6% 10.3% 10.0% 7.6% 6.6% 5.5% 4.8% 2.7% 0.4%
Nicholas Hurley 6.0% 7.7% 5.9% 7.7% 7.1% 9.7% 9.4% 8.4% 8.6% 9.9% 6.9% 6.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Oliver Hurwitz 14.6% 14.5% 13.3% 13.1% 11.2% 8.6% 6.3% 6.1% 4.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 4.6% 5.3% 4.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.1% 9.4% 8.2% 8.4% 9.7% 8.2% 4.5% 1.3%
Grace Cannon 3.2% 2.7% 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 8.0% 5.7% 7.4% 8.1% 9.0% 10.3% 11.8% 10.0% 6.5% 3.5%
Harry Stevenson 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.4% 5.0% 4.7% 8.7% 11.4% 19.0% 33.8%
Alex Kitay 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 2.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 3.8% 6.1% 6.5% 10.4% 9.9% 12.8% 16.1% 12.7%
Jonathan Chance 5.3% 4.5% 7.1% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 8.4% 8.6% 8.3% 10.1% 8.4% 7.9% 5.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Ryan Potter 3.5% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 7.6% 7.8% 8.7% 10.9% 10.6% 10.6% 7.3% 4.6%
Lochlann Ludwig 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 2.9% 4.2% 6.3% 5.9% 4.7% 7.0% 9.9% 9.9% 14.4% 14.8% 9.1%
Sean Lund 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 4.1% 5.6% 7.9% 10.1% 20.7% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.