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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.14+3.18vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.37vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79-0.85vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.910.00vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71-0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.43vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-0.64vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Cornell University1.1410.7%1st Place
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2.31Cornell University2.3837.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania1.169.8%1st Place
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3.15Cornell University1.7920.3%1st Place
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5.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.5%1st Place
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5.19Fordham University0.716.8%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.0%1st Place
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7.36Princeton University-0.321.6%1st Place
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7.85SUNY Maritime College-1.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ava Gustafson | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
Bridget Green | 37.1% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
Sophia Devling | 20.3% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 5.0% |
Carly Mraz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 31.5% | 33.4% |
Eva Leggett | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 22.2% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.