Race 4A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Shea Smith 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 8.6% 8.7% 6.7% 6.9% 5.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6%
James Paul 16.1% 15.6% 14.5% 11.9% 11.2% 7.7% 6.3% 6.0% 4.3% 2.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonathan Chance 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 8.8% 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 9.2% 8.2% 10.1% 8.6% 6.1% 5.0% 2.6% 0.5%
Oliver Hurwitz 15.0% 15.2% 11.9% 11.7% 9.6% 10.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.3% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 7.3% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 8.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Jack Flores 6.6% 8.1% 7.3% 8.2% 8.9% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.0% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Nicholas Hurley 7.4% 5.7% 6.9% 8.6% 7.6% 8.5% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 9.1% 6.6% 5.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Sam Bonauto 15.5% 14.2% 13.5% 10.8% 10.6% 7.1% 8.5% 7.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Cannon 2.9% 2.8% 5.1% 5.0% 4.4% 6.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.4% 11.6% 10.3% 11.1% 10.3% 7.6% 2.5%
Ryan Potter 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 6.8% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 7.7% 9.6% 10.8% 11.1% 8.8% 7.9% 3.8%
Adam Strobridge 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 6.4% 9.2% 8.4% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 5.0% 3.0%
Alex Kitay 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 5.9% 5.2% 5.6% 8.4% 13.5% 14.5% 16.1% 12.1%
Harry Stevenson 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 4.2% 3.6% 5.7% 7.1% 12.1% 20.2% 33.9%
Lochlann Ludwig 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.4% 3.9% 7.3% 6.3% 5.5% 9.3% 13.1% 12.9% 14.0% 9.2%
Sean Lund 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 3.9% 6.0% 7.8% 11.5% 19.2% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.