Race 5A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Oliver Hurwitz 15.1% 14.9% 13.1% 12.5% 8.3% 10.0% 6.4% 6.5% 4.5% 2.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Sam Bonauto 15.8% 15.8% 12.6% 11.1% 10.6% 6.9% 8.3% 6.4% 4.7% 3.1% 2.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
James Paul 16.3% 13.3% 13.3% 11.8% 10.7% 8.7% 8.4% 7.7% 4.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Kitay 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 4.4% 6.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.2% 12.1% 16.7% 17.3%
Sean Lund 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.6% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 9.8% 15.6% 42.6%
Jack Flores 6.8% 8.0% 7.3% 6.9% 8.7% 9.4% 8.7% 9.0% 7.9% 8.8% 7.3% 4.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Shea Smith 9.6% 7.6% 9.2% 7.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.3% 6.4% 4.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Sam Monaghan 6.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 7.3% 9.2% 7.5% 8.2% 6.2% 4.4% 3.2% 0.8%
Jonathan Chance 5.3% 5.9% 7.2% 6.3% 9.1% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.7% 7.2% 8.6% 6.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.6%
Ryan Potter 3.4% 2.9% 3.7% 5.8% 6.0% 5.2% 5.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.3% 9.9% 11.9% 9.1% 9.4% 5.8%
Grace Cannon 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 5.4% 7.7% 7.6% 9.1% 9.9% 10.6% 11.1% 6.6%
Adam Strobridge 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 5.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.5% 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 6.5% 3.2%
Nicholas Hurley 6.3% 6.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.2% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.5% 8.7% 7.2% 8.0% 4.9% 3.9% 1.7%
Lochlann Ludwig 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.8% 7.0% 10.8% 13.8% 14.5% 13.0%
Ted Lutton 3.0% 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 4.3% 5.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.5% 9.3% 7.9% 10.3% 12.2% 11.3% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.