Race 6A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
James Paul 16.3% 15.5% 14.3% 11.3% 8.8% 8.4% 7.5% 5.6% 5.1% 2.5% 1.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Shea Smith 8.0% 10.6% 9.9% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 9.6% 8.4% 6.7% 6.8% 5.7% 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Oliver Hurwitz 16.0% 12.6% 13.2% 13.0% 8.8% 10.1% 7.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Hurley 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 7.1% 8.4% 8.3% 7.0% 8.4% 9.2% 7.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.7% 3.6% 1.2%
Sam Bonauto 13.8% 14.2% 10.9% 12.9% 12.1% 8.6% 7.8% 5.4% 4.5% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 8.1% 7.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.2% 8.7% 6.9% 5.7% 5.0% 1.9% 1.1%
Jack Flores 8.0% 7.6% 8.3% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.5% 4.9% 5.5% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Jonathan Chance 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 8.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 6.8% 10.0% 7.9% 8.5% 5.3% 4.3% 1.6%
Ted Lutton 2.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.1% 6.1% 5.4% 6.9% 8.1% 8.6% 9.1% 10.0% 11.9% 10.6% 5.0%
Ryan Potter 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 5.5% 5.7% 4.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 10.3% 11.0% 8.8% 9.2% 6.1%
Lochlann Ludwig 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.1% 4.7% 3.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.1% 8.8% 8.4% 13.4% 15.5% 14.6%
Grace Cannon 3.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.4% 6.1% 6.3% 5.3% 5.3% 7.5% 8.4% 9.8% 10.6% 10.0% 11.8% 6.6%
Adam Strobridge 4.5% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 8.2% 6.9% 8.9% 10.3% 8.1% 9.9% 6.0% 3.6%
Alex Kitay 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 3.3% 5.3% 6.2% 5.2% 8.2% 10.0% 12.0% 17.3% 16.1%
Sean Lund 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 4.2% 4.4% 7.3% 9.6% 15.2% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.