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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+3.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+1.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+4.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43-0.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.29+2.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75-0.27vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.14+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.83+0.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-3.97vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.87+2.96vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.01-0.07vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.17-1.32vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.32-1.05vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.35-4.11vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.42-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.9Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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5.03Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.96University of New Hampshire-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.93Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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10.68Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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11.95Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.89University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 18.1% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 19.0% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Sigel | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Wheeler | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 42.2% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 22.5% |
| Sam Harris | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.