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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+6.45vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+2.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+1.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43-0.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.29+1.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13-2.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-0.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.42+0.71vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.01+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.83-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.87+1.14vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.35-2.89vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32-2.29vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.17-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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3.84Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College1.290.1%1st Place
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4.7Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College0.420.0%1st Place
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10.98Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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13.14University of New Hampshire-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.11University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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11.71Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.41Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| bella casaretto | 20.6% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 18.0% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Charles Wheeler | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 45.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 19.9% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.