Race 3B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
bella casaretto 18.5% 19.3% 15.7% 11.8% 9.4% 7.5% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 4.6% 5.5% 5.8% 9.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 11.7% 9.7% 8.3% 7.0% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Connor Rosow 11.8% 11.7% 12.9% 9.7% 12.0% 10.5% 10.9% 7.1% 5.9% 3.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Mueller 18.7% 17.1% 14.1% 13.1% 10.8% 8.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.8% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Russler 13.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.7% 12.2% 11.4% 8.0% 6.8% 4.8% 2.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Sigel 9.3% 8.8% 9.1% 11.2% 11.5% 11.0% 9.5% 9.0% 7.3% 6.2% 3.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Harris 3.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 7.1% 8.1% 10.5% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 9.7% 6.2%
Madeline Koelbel 5.8% 6.2% 7.1% 9.0% 6.0% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 9.8% 10.3% 8.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7%
Liam Lawless 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 5.9% 8.3% 9.6% 8.9% 9.9% 9.8% 9.3% 9.6% 5.8% 3.8% 2.2% 0.3%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 5.4% 7.8% 7.6% 9.0% 11.3% 11.2% 13.0% 10.4% 4.6%
Gavin Sanborn 3.2% 4.6% 4.4% 5.2% 4.8% 5.7% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 9.9% 7.0% 4.9% 3.2%
Rob Mailley 1.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.5% 3.3% 4.1% 3.7% 6.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.4% 13.5% 13.7% 15.4% 8.9%
Griffen Horne 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 5.5% 7.2% 8.3% 12.5% 15.8% 16.6% 13.4%
Amanda Yolles 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 7.1% 7.7% 11.2% 14.7% 18.7% 20.6%
Charles Wheeler 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 5.2% 7.4% 11.2% 18.4% 41.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.