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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+3.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+1.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+5.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75+0.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43-2.09vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.14+0.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-0.56vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.01+1.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.42-0.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.17-0.57vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.29-4.71vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.83-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.87-1.05vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.32-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.82Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.94University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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3.91Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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10.91Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College0.420.0%1st Place
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10.43Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College1.290.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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12.95University of New Hampshire-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.72Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 19.0% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Max Sigel | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 17.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Liam Lawless | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 4.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Charles Wheeler | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 44.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.