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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.02vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+1.14vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.93+1.75vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.68vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.30-1.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.31vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.01-0.81vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Pennsylvania1.7723.9%1st Place
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3.14Fordham University1.9821.2%1st Place
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4.75Cornell University0.938.1%1st Place
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3.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7719.6%1st Place
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3.5Webb Institute1.3016.9%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Maritime College-0.023.1%1st Place
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6.19Hamilton College0.014.0%1st Place
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7.2Princeton University-0.571.7%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 23.9% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 21.2% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 16.9% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 12.7% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 11.9% |
| William Roberts | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 26.5% | 30.3% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 23.4% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.