Race 6B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ben Mueller 17.9% 17.3% 15.6% 11.3% 10.9% 8.9% 6.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Russler 12.2% 15.3% 11.8% 13.4% 12.1% 9.0% 7.0% 6.5% 5.3% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Rosow 10.7% 11.8% 12.5% 10.3% 11.9% 10.1% 8.7% 8.2% 6.2% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
bella casaretto 18.6% 16.4% 14.0% 12.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 5.0% 5.4% 7.1% 5.3% 5.0% 7.9% 8.0% 8.5% 10.3% 10.8% 9.8% 7.6% 5.3% 3.2% 0.8%
Amanda Yolles 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 3.1% 3.0% 3.7% 5.1% 6.7% 8.9% 15.0% 23.0% 21.9%
Max Sigel 10.1% 7.1% 10.1% 9.5% 11.4% 9.5% 12.0% 8.0% 7.1% 6.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Anna Olsen 5.1% 5.6% 5.7% 7.9% 5.9% 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 10.1% 9.5% 9.9% 6.2% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Connor Vogel 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 5.4% 4.6% 6.9% 6.0% 7.6% 10.3% 9.9% 10.5% 12.1% 9.4% 6.3% 1.9%
Liam Lawless 4.6% 4.6% 5.3% 7.5% 7.3% 7.9% 8.4% 10.4% 10.7% 9.1% 8.5% 6.4% 5.9% 2.4% 1.0%
Sam Harris 2.2% 2.1% 1.6% 4.2% 3.2% 4.7% 5.0% 4.7% 7.4% 8.7% 11.2% 12.7% 11.2% 13.6% 7.5%
Griffen Horne 2.0% 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 9.4% 12.7% 16.1% 17.4% 14.0%
Madeline Koelbel 5.4% 5.6% 5.9% 7.1% 7.5% 6.8% 8.0% 10.2% 9.4% 11.0% 9.1% 6.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.9%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 4.7% 5.3% 7.2% 6.3% 7.6% 9.9% 14.0% 13.4% 11.4% 4.9%
Charles Wheeler 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.8% 6.3% 10.9% 17.4% 46.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.