Race 7B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lauren Russler 13.2% 14.0% 13.1% 11.7% 9.6% 10.5% 7.6% 7.5% 5.8% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Ben Mueller 19.2% 15.9% 15.9% 13.0% 11.1% 8.0% 6.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Harris 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 3.9% 4.9% 6.2% 5.1% 9.8% 9.8% 13.2% 13.5% 13.2% 5.1%
Connor Rosow 11.3% 11.5% 12.7% 11.0% 9.7% 9.2% 10.6% 7.8% 6.7% 3.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Vogel 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 4.8% 4.4% 5.1% 6.2% 5.4% 8.4% 10.5% 11.4% 12.0% 10.6% 6.7% 3.4%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 4.2% 5.8% 8.5% 9.0% 11.2% 13.1% 13.2% 11.2% 4.9%
Madeline Koelbel 6.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 7.2% 8.6% 10.6% 10.0% 10.0% 8.3% 7.8% 5.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Teagan Cunningham 4.7% 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 7.2% 8.8% 7.6% 9.1% 9.2% 11.3% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Anna Olsen 4.8% 4.1% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.9% 8.1% 10.0% 11.3% 9.2% 8.1% 7.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Griffen Horne 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 4.1% 5.2% 4.7% 6.8% 9.6% 10.2% 16.8% 17.6% 13.5%
Max Sigel 8.3% 9.6% 10.4% 8.6% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 7.3% 6.6% 5.6% 3.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.4%
bella casaretto 16.4% 16.6% 12.4% 12.6% 12.0% 8.6% 8.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Wheeler 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 5.5% 9.4% 17.5% 48.8%
Liam Lawless 5.0% 5.3% 4.9% 6.9% 8.7% 7.2% 7.9% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 9.6% 8.1% 4.6% 2.5% 0.6%
Amanda Yolles 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 7.3% 10.2% 14.1% 22.5% 21.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.