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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.25+0.94vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24-0.05vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.62vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-2.52+0.09vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Pittsburgh0.250.4%1st Place
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1.95Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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2.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.09Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
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4.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeway Case | 38.2% | 33.6% | 23.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 37.8% | 33.3% | 25.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 21.4% | 28.9% | 40.3% | 8.8% | 0.6% |
| Elliot Taft | 1.8% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 58.2% | 29.0% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 25.5% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.