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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.12vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+0.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.59vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+1.05vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.06vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.14-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.61vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-0.69vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Cornell University1.7920.3%1st Place
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2.32Cornell University2.3837.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.2%1st Place
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5.05Fordham University0.717.1%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.0%1st Place
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4.23Cornell University1.1411.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Pennsylvania1.169.7%1st Place
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7.31Princeton University-0.321.7%1st Place
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8.05SUNY Maritime College-1.221.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Sophia Devling | 20.3% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Bridget Green | 37.0% | 25.9% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 4.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
Ava Gustafson | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
Carly Mraz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 34.6% | 29.5% |
Eva Leggett | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 20.0% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.