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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.12vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-0.02vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.58-0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.72-0.31vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-4.05-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Penn State Behrend-1.070.4%1st Place
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1.98Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.4%1st Place
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2.58Syracuse University-1.580.2%1st Place
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3.69University of Pittsburgh-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.62Indiana University of Pennsylvania-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 35.2% | 30.6% | 22.5% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| Jonah Nelson | 39.0% | 31.4% | 22.8% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Ihle | 20.0% | 26.1% | 32.2% | 18.8% | 2.9% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 4.5% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 49.4% | 19.3% |
| Olivia Wanat | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 15.2% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.