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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-1.58+1.61vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-1.07+0.09vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.72-0.31vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-4.05-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Syracuse University-1.580.2%1st Place
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2.09Penn State Behrend-1.070.3%1st Place
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1.99Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.4%1st Place
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3.69University of Pittsburgh-2.720.1%1st Place
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4.62Indiana University of Pennsylvania-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ihle | 20.5% | 24.2% | 32.4% | 19.6% | 3.3% |
| Bryce Nill | 33.9% | 32.7% | 24.5% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Jonah Nelson | 39.2% | 31.3% | 21.6% | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 5.2% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 50.3% | 19.1% |
| Olivia Wanat | 1.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 14.8% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.