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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.13vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.58+0.58vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.72-0.31vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-4.05-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Penn State Behrend-1.070.3%1st Place
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2.58Syracuse University-1.580.2%1st Place
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1.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.4%1st Place
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3.69University of Pittsburgh-2.720.1%1st Place
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4.64Indiana University of Pennsylvania-4.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 33.4% | 33.0% | 22.0% | 10.4% | 1.2% |
| Henry Ihle | 19.8% | 25.0% | 34.5% | 18.5% | 2.2% |
| Jonah Nelson | 40.1% | 31.8% | 20.6% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 5.5% | 8.5% | 17.4% | 49.0% | 19.6% |
| Olivia Wanat | 1.2% | 1.7% | 5.5% | 15.2% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.