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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.06vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+0.54vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98-0.81vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.26vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.93-1.31vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.01-0.79vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57-0.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7718.5%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania1.7722.7%1st Place
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3.54Webb Institute1.3017.5%1st Place
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3.19Fordham University1.9820.9%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College-0.023.0%1st Place
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4.69Cornell University0.939.3%1st Place
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6.21Hamilton College0.014.2%1st Place
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7.15Princeton University-0.572.4%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.5% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 22.7% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 17.5% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 20.9% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 13.4% |
| Boris Bialer | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 12.3% |
| William Roberts | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 24.9% | 30.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 23.6% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.