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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.27vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+1.12vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.58vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71-0.95vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.14-2.61vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-0.63vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Cornell University2.3839.6%1st Place
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3.12Cornell University1.7919.1%1st Place
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4.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Pennsylvania1.1610.2%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.0%1st Place
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5.05Fordham University0.716.9%1st Place
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4.39Cornell University1.149.5%1st Place
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7.37Princeton University-0.321.2%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Maritime College-1.221.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Bridget Green | 39.6% | 25.5% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Sophia Devling | 19.1% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 4.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 2.7% |
Ava Gustafson | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
Carly Mraz | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 32.5% | 31.7% |
Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.