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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+2.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+2.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.00vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.30-1.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+1.47vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.69vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.01-1.73vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.57-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Fordham University1.9822.1%1st Place
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4.69Cornell University0.939.4%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7717.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Pennsylvania1.7724.6%1st Place
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3.58Webb Institute1.3015.4%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.8%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Maritime College-0.023.9%1st Place
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6.27Hamilton College0.013.9%1st Place
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7.14Princeton University-0.571.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jacob Zils | 22.1% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Boris Bialer | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.2% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Sofia Segalla | 24.6% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Oscar Gilroy | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 41.9% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 14.8% |
Michael Stewart | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 21.2% | 12.7% |
William Roberts | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 25.9% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.