← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University-1.82+3.29vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-1.50+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.28-1.33vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-1.48-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-1.27-1.38vs Predicted
-
6Washington University-1.53-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.29Miami University-1.820.1%1st Place
-
3.75Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
1.67Ohio State University0.280.6%1st Place
-
3.77Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
-
3.62Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
3.9Washington University-1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Hoeft | 5.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 30.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 9.4% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 57.3% | 25.7% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 10.3% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 16.4% |
| Emily Williams | 10.0% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| Meredith Moore | 7.3% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.