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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.50+2.87vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+1.46vs Predicted
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3Washington University-1.53+0.82vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.28-2.31vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.82-0.66vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.48-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.46Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.82Washington University-1.530.1%1st Place
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1.69Ohio State University0.280.6%1st Place
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4.34Miami University-1.820.1%1st Place
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3.82Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brynna Smith | 8.1% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 19.4% |
| Emily Williams | 11.2% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 12.4% |
| Meredith Moore | 9.9% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 22.5% | 16.7% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 55.2% | 28.4% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Allison Hoeft | 6.8% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 32.9% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 8.8% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.