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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+0.68vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.27+1.31vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.48+0.64vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.37+0.81vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.50-1.21vs Predicted
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6Washington University-1.53-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Ohio State University0.280.6%1st Place
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3.31Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.64Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.81Miami University-2.370.0%1st Place
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3.79Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.77Washington University-1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 57.4% | 25.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Williams | 12.3% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 8.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 10.0% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 22.4% | 11.4% |
| Alexandra Knauer | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 47.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.3% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| Meredith Moore | 8.5% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.