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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.30vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.14+1.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.96vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+0.11vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79-2.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.38vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-0.71vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.3836.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Pennsylvania1.1610.7%1st Place
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4.21Cornell University1.1410.9%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.9%1st Place
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5.11Fordham University0.717.4%1st Place
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3.17Cornell University1.7920.2%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.3%1st Place
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7.29Princeton University-0.321.5%1st Place
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8.01SUNY Maritime College-1.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Bridget Green | 36.2% | 25.9% | 19.9% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Adra Ivancich | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
Lizzie Cochran | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
Sophia Devling | 20.2% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 5.1% |
Carly Mraz | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 31.9% | 30.9% |
Eva Leggett | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 22.4% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.