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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+0.73vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.50+1.79vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.48+0.76vs Predicted
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4Washington University-1.53-0.14vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.82-0.65vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.27-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Ohio State University0.280.6%1st Place
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3.79Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.76Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.86Washington University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.35Miami University-1.820.1%1st Place
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3.51Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 55.0% | 26.6% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Brynna Smith | 8.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 18.0% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| Meredith Moore | 9.0% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 19.1% |
| Allison Hoeft | 5.6% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 33.6% |
| Emily Williams | 11.7% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.