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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.36vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30+1.64vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+0.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.93+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.93vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.01+0.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.44vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.74vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.57-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7719.9%1st Place
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3.64Webb Institute1.3016.2%1st Place
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3.13Fordham University1.9822.4%1st Place
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4.77Cornell University0.937.9%1st Place
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3.07University of Pennsylvania1.7721.4%1st Place
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6.24Hamilton College0.013.9%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.612.1%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College-0.024.0%1st Place
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7.09Princeton University-0.572.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.9% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Everett Botwinick | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Jacob Zils | 22.4% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Boris Bialer | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
Sofia Segalla | 21.4% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Michael Stewart | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 13.4% |
Oscar Gilroy | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 41.2% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 13.7% |
William Roberts | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.