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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+0.43vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63+1.54vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.26vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93-0.74vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.43Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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4.54Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.26Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.98Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 18.7% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.2% | 26.3% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Brian Fox | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 25.1% | 37.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.8% | 22.6% | 23.2% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 22.8% | 29.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.