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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.68vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63+1.57vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+0.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.22-2.45vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.57Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.17Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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2.55Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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3.96Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 17.9% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 6.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.6% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Brian Fox | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 21.1% | 40.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 25.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 30.1% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 22.7% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.