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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+0.17vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-0.95vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.63-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.4Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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4.17Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.05Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.6Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 22.9% | 24.5% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 21.6% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 5.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.7% | 25.8% | 20.9% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 25.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 23.0% | 22.5% |
| Brian Fox | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.