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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+1.47vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.93+2.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-0.33vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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4.15Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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2.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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3.04U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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4.67Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.95Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 31.3% | 27.1% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 25.2% | 25.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 26.2% | 22.2% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 19.2% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 20.6% | 13.1% | 4.6% |
| Brian Fox | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 43.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 25.2% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.