← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.76vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.22+0.42vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.63+1.54vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.95vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.93-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Washington College2.11-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
-
2.42Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
-
4.54Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.05U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
-
4.26Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
3.97Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 24.0% | 24.9% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 32.8% | 26.5% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Brian Fox | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 24.5% | 37.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 19.0% | 19.8% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 29.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 22.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.