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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.07vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.93+2.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.62vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-0.32vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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4.16Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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2.38Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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3.98Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 18.8% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 26.3% | 25.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 34.7% | 23.7% | 20.8% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.8% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| Brian Fox | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 42.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 24.5% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.