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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+3.60vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.90vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22-0.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.99vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.93-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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3.9Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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2.39Georgetown University3.220.3%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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4.23Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 4.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 40.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 19.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 33.8% | 24.6% | 20.9% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 20.7% | 19.1% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 22.7% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.