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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.93-0.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.03vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93-0.78vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.63-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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2.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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2.67Georgetown University2.930.3%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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4.22Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.56Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.8% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 20.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.2% | 24.5% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Scott Mais | 27.4% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 21.1% | 18.7% | 25.2% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 28.7% |
| Brian Fox | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 24.1% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.