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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+0.68vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.88vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+0.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.23vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.63-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.930.3%1st Place
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3.88Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.12Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.55Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 19.8% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Scott Mais | 28.1% | 23.7% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 21.7% | 19.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 25.4% | 24.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 25.8% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Brian Fox | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.