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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+1.21vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+2.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-1.64vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.14-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.53vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-0.72vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.0%1st Place
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3.21Cornell University1.7919.7%1st Place
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5.23Fordham University0.716.3%1st Place
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2.36Cornell University2.3836.7%1st Place
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4.29Cornell University1.1410.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Pennsylvania1.1611.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.9%1st Place
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7.28Princeton University-0.322.1%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Maritime College-1.221.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Elizabeth Starck | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
Sophia Devling | 19.7% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 3.8% |
Bridget Green | 36.7% | 26.8% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 4.7% |
Carly Mraz | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 32.4% | 30.3% |
Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 20.4% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.