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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.93+3.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.36vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.11vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-0.38vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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3.89Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.62Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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2.71Georgetown University2.930.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 24.2% | 26.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 21.8% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 27.2% | 23.3% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 19.8% |
| Brian Fox | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 41.5% |
| Scott Mais | 26.2% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.